Unsettled early week, but nice for the holiday

8:35 AM, Jul 1, 2013   |    comments
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This week's pattern is a bit like training a puppy; gradual improvement over time until things stop getting wet on a random basis. (#mymindisascaryplace)

Today: It's pretty quiet out there right now with a pleasant mixture of sun and clouds, however showers have already started developing across southern New Hampshire. There is more where that came from too with a HUGE batch of showers and thunderstorms drifting northeastward from the Mid-Atlantic. Bottom line: Our day is going to fall apart quickly. Look for showers and thunderstorms to move into southern and western Maine as early as late morning and continue moving northeast through the afternoon. By 2-3 PM the showers will reach Bangor with some heavier downpours moving into central and southern Maine. There is a Flash Flood Watch in effect because of the potential for downpours and the fact that the recent rain has totally saturated our soil. High temperatures will end up in the upper 70s with high humidity.

Tonight: Depending on how the thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic survive the long journey, we could be looking at a pretty stormy evening. As it stands I'll call it mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms...but I think central Maine will actually catch more than one storm through the course of the evening. As a result look for some flash flooding problems.

Tuesday: The thunderstorms from overnight will likely continue into the morning on Tuesday, making for a gray start to the day. The heavier rain should end by mid-morning and give way to just a mostly cloudy afternoon. Either way it's not that pleasant of a day with an onshore flow keeping the coastline socked in with low stratus clouds (I DRIVE A DODGE STRATUS!).

Our unsettled pattern begins to loosen up a bit by midweek. Remember that battle I was describing between the Bermuda High and the upper level low to our west? Well the Bermuda high will begin to gain the upper hand by Wednesday. The result will be more sunshine and just an isolated thunderstorm on Wednesday afternoon.

By the 4th of July the showers and storms will become even less numerous so I'm feeling pretty good about the holiday. I expect a mixture of sun and clouds, temperatures in the low 80s and a 10-20% chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. (Pretty typical July 4th weather).

Friday looks downright warm with highs in the mid to upper 80s and high humidity.

Ok I'm out.

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