Quiet Monday, Midweek storm sails south

6:55 PM, Nov 25, 2012   |    comments
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This morning I tweeted (Shameless plug alert: @KeithcarsonWCSH. Fair Warning: I rarely tweet about weather...more often it's music, pop culture and "jump to conclusions mat" style invention ideas) that the midweek snowstorm was definitely going to miss us. In MOST places the response would be a sigh of relief. The Maine reaction?- "Noooooo!!!" "Where's the snow?!" "It could still hit us right? right?"

Ah Mainers, I love you...you crazy...but I love you.

Tonight: Partly cloudy and chilly. A few snow flurries can't be ruled out in the higher terrain, but even those will be drying out through the night. Lows will drop into the low 20s in most spots with teens pretty widespread over western Maine.

Monday: A few morning clouds may linger through around 9 AM, after that high pressure to the south will provide mostly sunny conditions. Temperatures will still be slow to warm, however, with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s. Winds settle, so the windchill won't be as much of a factor as it was on Sunday.

Tuesday: Sunshine is likely through the first half of the day, but clouds will increase by the afternoon in response to a low pressure system down across the Mid-Atlantic.

So about that storm...

It's a miss. I told you yesterday that generally when the computer models depict a "NORLUN trough" the storm track pushes westward in the next computer model runs. Well, that didn't happen in this case and all the "important models" agree this storm will miss Maine to the south on Wednesday morning.

Turns out what the computer models meant when they showed a NORLUN trough, is that there could actually BE a NORLUN trough setting up on Wednesday night. (Google it if you want a full explanation but the basic idea is that a larger low connects to a weaker low situated to the northwest via a "plume" of precipitation.) I'll watch this possibility for the Midcoast and Downeast late Wednesday night as it would produce some measureable snow for those locations. However, I've found true NORLUN troughs are like Bigfoot...people talk about them all the time but they very rarely show up.

Breezy, bright and cold conditions are likely for Thursday and Friday before some light snow on Saturday with a warm front lifting into Maine.

Only 5 days left to donate to my Movember cause...do it soon or I'll be forced to keep this bad boy and grow it into a handlebar. http://mobro.co/keithcarson



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