I woke up this morning, looked outside and thought to myself, "You know what we need? More snow!" #Sarcasmisasecondlanguage
Today: A warm front is moving through currently producing moderate bands of snow and a little coastal rain. The changeover to liquid was supposed to be a bit faster along the coastline but, no surprise, the computer models overestimated the warm air compared to the newly formed super deep/cold snowpack. (The annoying thing is that I saw this coming, mentioned and accounted for it yesterday, and I was STILL too fast with the changeover). For the rest of the afternoon look for moderate bands of snow to bring 2-5" of accumulation to interior and mountain locations with isolated totals of 6" possible. Meanwhile the coastline will eventually change over to rain after a generalized 1-3" accumulation. (Ironically I didn't have to clean off my car once during the 32' blizzard, but I've already cleaned it off twice with this little storm because of the moisture content of the snow). Although it will snow moderately at times, the bottom line is this is just a warm frontal passage...so total moisture is limited.
Tonight: As the warm front lifts north look for snow to continue up towards Millinocket and north to Caribou, adding up to a few more inches. Meanwhile the rest of the state will slowly turn partly cloudy with an isolated flurry or rain shower during the early part of the evening. Lows will be relatively mild, in the 30 to 35 F range.
Tuesday: The warm front is gone at this point and temperatures respond to a west-southwest flow. Look for highs in the 40 to 45 F range across the majority of the state, excluding the mountains. An even mixture of sun and clouds is slated for the coastline and interior but there will be some snow shower activity in the mountains due to the upslope flow there. Accumulation in the mountains will be under 2", but it's just worth noting because they will experience a totally different day than the rest of the state.
Wednesday: High pressure builds in so look for a partly sunny to mostly sunny day with dry conditions. High temperatures will end up in the upper 30s in most spots, mid 30s to the north.
There's going to be a sneaky storm missing JUST to our south on Wednesday night/Thursday morning so I'm going to leave in the chance for isolated coastal flurries during that time period. I was ready to totally write off that storm this morning, but the latest computer models have trended far enough north to give southern New England some light accumulation, so it only seems reasonable they might trend even further north and clip us with some flurries.
A few more snow showers on Friday with a weak little clipper system moving through and then our attention turns towards the weekend.
The EURO is digging out a nasty looking trough over the Northeast which typically sets the state for cyclogenesis (aka the development of a storm). The american GFS model has already hopped onboard this train giving us a bomb of a storm on Sunday.
Clearly it's too early to lock anything down but with that big trough overhead I feel confident there WILL be a storm, it's just a matter of what track the storm takes in relation to Maine.
It's just as well, because, hey, we need some more snow! :-)